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Friday, January 12, 2007

My Golden Globes (TV) Predictions

The Golden Globes are often a good indication of who will win Oscars. But they don’t tell us squat about the Emmys.

Because they’re selected by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the Globes have a different view of things. They usually go for what’s hip and hot. They like international stars and they often right Emmy wrongs.

All of which make it very difficult to predict the winners—but I’m going to give it a shot…

Best Series—Drama:
“Big Love”
“Grey’s Anatomy”
Will Win: “24”
Want to Win: Do you even have to ask?
Conventional wisdom says “Heroes” will win, but I think “24” will take it. Call it a political statement.

Best Actress—Drama:
Patricia Arquette, “Medium”
Edie Falco, “The Sopranos”
Evangeline Lilly, “Lost”
Ellen Pompeo, “Grey’s Anatomy”
Kyra Sedgwick, “The Closer”
Will Win: Falco
Want to Win: Sedgwick
Look for the Globes to right an Emmy wrong here.

Best Actor—Drama:
Patrick Dempsey, “Grey’s Anatomy”
Michael C. Hall, “Dexter”
Hugh Laurie, “House”
Bill Paxton, “Big Love”
Kiefer Sutherland, “24”
Will Win: Hall
Want to Win: Again, do you even have to ask?
Hall is getting A LOT of buzz, so I really think he’ll take it.

Best Series—Comedy or Musical
“Desperate Housewives”
“The Office”
“Ugly Betty”
Will Win: “Ugly Betty”
Want to Win: ?
International flavor will prevail.

Best Actress—Comedy or Musical
Marcia Cross, “Desperate Housewives”
America Ferrera, “Ugly Betty”
Felicity Huffman, “Desperate Housewives”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “The New Adventures of Old Christine”
Mary-Louise Parker, “Weeds”
Will Win: Ferrera
Want to Win: Cross
I really like Ferrera, so I’m okay if she wins—especially since Cross wouldn’t be able to accept her award. She’s now on bed rest.

Best Actor—Comedy or Musical:
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
Zach Braff, “Scrubs”
Steve Carell, “The Office”
Jason Lee, “My Name Is Earl”
Tony Shalhoub, “Monk”
Will Win: Baldwin
Want to Win: Normally, I would say Braff, but I’m a little miffed he’s bailing on “Scrubs,” so Baldwin’s okay with me.
The Globes love to honor breakout performances by movie stars.

Best Supporting Actress—Movie/Mini-Series or Series
Emily Blunt, “Gideon’s Daughter”
Toni Collette, “Tsunami, the Aftermath”
Katherine Heigl, “Grey’s Anatomy”
Sarah Paulson, “Studio 60”
Elizabeth Perkins, “Weeds”
Will Win: Collette
Want to Win: Paulson, if only for having to act out those lousy skits
The Supporting categories are crazy to predict, but the movie people usually come out on top.

Best Supporting Actor—Movie/Mini-Series or Series
Thomas Haden Church, “Broken Trail”
Jeremy Irons, “Elizabeth I”
Justin Kirk, “Weeds”
Masi Oka, “Heroes”
Jeremy Piven, “Entourage”
Will Win: Oka
Want to Win: Oka
It’s hard to pick against Jeremy Irons, but Oka has both the international flavor and the hip factor going for him. What do you want to bet that Oka’s acceptance speech would feature him yelling “I did it!” in Japanese, just like Hiro?

So, what are your predictions? And feel free to speculate on the movie categories too. I’m SO rooting for Jennifer Hudson…

“The Golden Globe Awards” air Monday, January 15th at 8 p.m. on NBC…
Photos courtesy of Gannett News Service and FOX.